Monday, 27 November, 2012: The
acclaimed neo-realist theorist Kenneth Waltz is of the view that Iran should go
nuclear. He believes that a nuclear Iran will bring nuclear stability in the
Middle East region. There have been historical enmity and callous relationship
between Iran and the US and her ally Israel. The tensions have been recently
been exacerbated by Iran’s nuclear ambition. The West has responded to these
attempts by slapping Tehran with numerous sanctions and trade embargos on her
goods.
The implications of Iran’s nuclear ambitions have been written and
widely argued on how dangerous such a move will be. Most US, European and
Israel commentators and policymakers warn that a nuclear-armed Iran would be
the worst possible outcome of the standoff on uranium enrichment in Iran. A
number of avenues have been postulated on how to deal with the crisis over
Iran’s nuclear program. As noted earlier, sanctions have been used to punish
Iran but they have relentlessly pursued the desire for nuclear technology. Analysts have seen this measure as futile
since Iran is determined to pursue her security agenda by possessing nuclear
technology, just like the other world super powers. By the look of things, Iran
is not willing to drop its nuclear ambition.
The implications of such a move
can also be interpreted with a positive touch. Israel’s regional nuclear
monopoly, which has endured for close to five decades now, has long fueled
instability in the region. Regional balance of power in the Middle East can be
stabilized with a nuclear Iran. Kenneth Waltz has argued that the fear of a
reprisal attack on Israel by Iran is grossly exaggerated. This has completely
distorted the positives of such a move by Iran. There have been misjudged
arguments that the Ayatollahs and whole Iranian system is irrational and will
hit Israel after acquiring a bomb. On the contrary, Iran as a state wants to
compete with other developed nations around the world. History has shown us
that when countries acquire nuclear arsenal, they feel increasingly vulnerable
and become acutely aware of the dangers posed therewith.
In 1991, the
historical rivals of India and Pakistan signed a treaty agreeing not to target
each other nuclear facilities. The two, by virtue of such an agreement respect
each other and brought about balance of power in the region. It’s for this
reason that Waltz argues that a nuclear Iran will bring about more stability in
the Middle East region. A nuclear Iran will bring stability and possibly mend
relations with Israel. Who knows?
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